March 13, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Joe Duffy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 892 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Joe Duffy overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 3 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Lindsey.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Joe Duffy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 940 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Joe Duffy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:47 | 1:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 888 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +78 |
Joe Duffy earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:47, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Joe Duffy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 23 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 838 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -85 | +85 |
Joe Duffy controlled the striking exchanges with 15 vs 6 significant strikes, 37.5% vs 26.1% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Joe Duffy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Joe Duffy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 801 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Joe Duffy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 940 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Joe Duffy demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Joe Duffy capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Lindsey's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Joe Duffy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 940 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Joe Duffy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Lindsey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Joe Duffy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 940 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.