June 6, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Jon Tuck |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 971 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Jon Tuck's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Tuck for the expected result. Had Jake Lindsey pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Jon Tuck |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Jon Tuck |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 2:47 | 2:47 |
| Win Type ELO | 959 | 1 088 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +83 |
Jon Tuck gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Jon Tuck |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 49 | 46 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 75 | 83 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 117 | 86 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 946 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Jake Lindsey controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (117 vs 86 total strikes). However, since Jake Lindsey lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jon Tuck's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Jon Tuck |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:28 | 6:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 921 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -79 | +79 |
Jon Tuck controlled Jake Lindsey on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:24 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Jon Tuck |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 224 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +26 |
Jon Tuck demonstrated standard activity with 224 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jon Tuck capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Lindsey's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Jon Tuck |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Jon Tuck started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Lindsey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Jon Tuck |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.