October 3, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 950 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:22 | 3:22 |
| Win Type ELO | 921 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +59 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:22, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jake Lindsey was submitted.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 48 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 923 | 990 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Jake Lindsey controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (82 vs 44 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (24 vs 31), superior accuracy (46.2% vs 64.6%). However, since Jake Lindsey lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Olivier Aubin-Mercier's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 3:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 830 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | -91 | +91 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier dominated Jake Lindsey on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 3:05 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 119 | 171 |
| Activity ELO | 958 | 1 016 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier demonstrated solid activity levels with 171 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Olivier Aubin-Mercier capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Lindsey's 119-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Olivier Aubin-Mercier started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Lindsey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Lindsey | Olivier Aubin-Mercier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.