May 8, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Matthews | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 030 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:53 | 4:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 082 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +58 |
James Vick earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:53, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 26 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
James Vick edged the striking exchanges with 10 vs 4 significant strikes, 38.5% vs 14.3% accuracy. James Vick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:30 | 0:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 215 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
James Vick edged out Jake Matthews on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 183 | 168 |
| Activity ELO | 1 043 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +34 |
James Vick demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, James Vick capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Matthews's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 026 | 1 100 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +27 |
James Vick extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Matthews is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | James Vick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.