February 9, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 095 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -24 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 061 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 185 | 1 187 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
Jake Matthews earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 63 | 49 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 152 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 89 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 120 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +155 | -155 |
Jake Matthews dominated the striking exchanges with 89 vs 56 total strikes, 63 vs 49 significant strikes, 49.6% vs 32.2% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jake Matthews capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:26 | 1:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 24 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 217 | 1 062 |
| ELO Change | +50 | -50 |
Jake Matthews controlled Li Jingliang on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:26 of control time, 24 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 77 |
| Activity ELO | 1 157 | 1 092 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -22 |
Jake Matthews demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Li Jingliang's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 080 | 1 070 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -24 |
Jake Matthews extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Li Jingliang is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Li Jingliang |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 061 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.