September 27, 2025
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 23 | 36 |
| Experience Gap | -13 | 13 |
| Experience ELO | 1 183 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Neil Magny's 13-fight experience advantage (36 vs 23 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Neil Magny for the expected result. Had Jake Matthews pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 102 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:08 | 3:08 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 331 | 1 454 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +58 |
Neil Magny earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:08, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jake Matthews was submitted.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 44 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 73 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 178 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Neil Magny controlled the striking exchanges with 73 vs 28 total strikes, 31 vs 18 significant strikes, 54.4% vs 40.9% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:43 | 2:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -93 | +93 |
Neil Magny controlled Jake Matthews on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 2:46 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 1 219 | 1 444 |
| ELO Change | -12 | +62 |
Neil Magny demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 56 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Matthews's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 143 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +22 |
Neil Magny extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Matthews is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 102 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

