October 4, 2019
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 10 | -10 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Jake Matthews's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Matthews for the expected result. Had Rostem Akman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 074 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 208 | 941 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Jake Matthews earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 15 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 133 | 110 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 15 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 170 | 909 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jake Matthews controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 15 total strikes, 59 vs 15 significant strikes, 44.4% vs 13.6% accuracy. Jake Matthews capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 182 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Jake Matthews did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rostem Akman on the ground with 0:49 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 126 |
| Activity ELO | 1 171 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
Jake Matthews demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Rostem Akman's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 098 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -15 |
Jake Matthews started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rostem Akman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Rostem Akman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 074 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

