Jake Matthews vs Rostem Akman

October 4, 2019

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1138
(+17)
Jake Matthews
Winner: Jake Matthews
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jake Matthews+17
Rostem Akman-16
954
(-16)
Rostem Akman

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Matthews: +20Rostem Akman: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJake MatthewsRostem Akman
Total UFC Fights122
Experience Gap10-10
Experience ELO1 126959
ELO Change+20-20
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What Happened

Jake Matthews's 10-fight experience advantage (12 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Matthews for the expected result. Had Rostem Akman pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Matthews: +16Rostem Akman: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricJake MatthewsRostem Akman
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 074963
ELO Change+16-16
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Matthews: +17Rostem Akman: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJake MatthewsRostem Akman
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 208941
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

Jake Matthews earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Matthews: +27Rostem Akman: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricJake MatthewsRostem Akman
Significant Strikes Landed5915
Significant Strikes Attempted133110
Total Strikes Landed6115
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 170909
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Jake Matthews controlled the striking exchanges with 61 vs 15 total strikes, 59 vs 15 significant strikes, 44.4% vs 13.6% accuracy. Jake Matthews capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Matthews: +11Rostem Akman: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricJake MatthewsRostem Akman
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:490:03
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 182962
ELO Change+11-11
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What Happened

Jake Matthews did not secure a significant ground advantage against Rostem Akman on the ground with 0:49 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Matthews: +11Rostem Akman: -11

Performance Statistics

MetricJake MatthewsRostem Akman
Days Since Last Fight308126
Activity ELO1 171968
ELO Change+11-11
💡

What Happened

Jake Matthews demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Rostem Akman's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Matthews: +17Rostem Akman: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricJake MatthewsRostem Akman
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 098964
ELO Change+17-15
💡

What Happened

Jake Matthews started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Rostem Akman is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jake Matthews: +16Rostem Akman: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricJake MatthewsRostem Akman
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 074963
ELO Change+16-16
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.