March 5, 2021
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 11 | -11 |
| Experience ELO | 1 179 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +63 |
Sean Brady overcame a 11-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake Matthews.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 087 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 3:28 | 3:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 218 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +82 |
Sean Brady earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 3:28, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jake Matthews was submitted.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 84 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 133 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 186 | 1 224 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Sean Brady dominated the striking exchanges with 133 vs 32 total strikes, 37 vs 21 significant strikes, 54.4% vs 25.0% accuracy. Sean Brady capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 8:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 16 |
| Ground ELO | 1 121 | 1 406 |
| ELO Change | -158 | +158 |
Sean Brady dominated Jake Matthews on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 8:08 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 197 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +36 |
Sean Brady demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sean Brady capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Matthews's 162-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 120 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +35 |
Sean Brady extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Matthews is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 087 | 1 086 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.