June 22, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 6 | -6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 127 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jake Matthews's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Matthews for the expected result. Had Shinsho Anzai pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 080 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:44 | 2:44 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 228 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -25 |
Jake Matthews earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 12 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 163 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Jake Matthews edged the striking exchanges with 12 vs 1 significant strikes, 63.2% vs 20.0% accuracy. Jake Matthews capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:00 | 0:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 292 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -75 |
Jake Matthews dominated Shinsho Anzai on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:00 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 274 |
| Activity ELO | 1 183 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -13 |
Jake Matthews demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Shinsho Anzai's 274-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 103 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -18 |
Jake Matthews extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shinsho Anzai is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Shinsho Anzai |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 080 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.