November 6, 2014
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 054 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -29 |
Jake Matthews overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Vagner Rocha.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 040 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 1:52 | 1:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 117 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -35 |
Jake Matthews earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:52, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Vagner Rocha was submitted.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 63 | 30 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 17 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 091 | 901 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Jake Matthews edged the striking exchanges with 26 vs 14 significant strikes. Jake Matthews capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:56 | 0:28 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 277 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -80 |
Jake Matthews dominated Vagner Rocha on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:56 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 996 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -21 |
Jake Matthews demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake Matthews capitalized on this activity level, while Vagner Rocha's 996-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -19 |
Jake Matthews extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vagner Rocha is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Matthews | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.