July 10, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Jon Jones overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 7 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jake O'Brien.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:43 | 2:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 054 | 1 167 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +64 |
Jon Jones earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:43, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Jake O'Brien was submitted.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 11 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 68 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 027 | 1 140 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Jon Jones edged the striking exchanges with 25 vs 11 significant strikes, 28.7% vs 16.2% accuracy. Jon Jones capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:03 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 132 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jon Jones edged out Jake O'Brien on the ground with 0:34 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 076 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +40 |
Jon Jones demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Jones capitalized on this activity level, while Jake O'Brien's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 032 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +27 |
Jon Jones extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake O'Brien is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Jon Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 018 | 1 065 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.