November 17, 2006
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Josh Shockman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 051 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Josh Shockman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Josh Shockman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 118 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Jake O'Brien earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Josh Shockman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 40 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 106 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 157 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Jake O'Brien dominated the striking exchanges with 106 vs 50 total strikes, 41.9% vs 32.5% accuracy. Jake O'Brien capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Josh Shockman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 10 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:22 | 0:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 13 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 170 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +89 | -89 |
Jake O'Brien dominated Josh Shockman on the ground with 10 vs 0 takedowns, 10:22 of control time, 13 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Josh Shockman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 94 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -20 |
Jake O'Brien demonstrated solid activity levels with 94 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jake O'Brien capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Shockman's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Josh Shockman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Jake O'Brien extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Shockman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake O'Brien | Josh Shockman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

