November 20, 2009
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Rosholt | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 010 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Kendall Grove's 6-fight experience advantage (9 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kendall Grove for the expected result. Had Jake Rosholt pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jake Rosholt | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 987 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Rosholt | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:59 | 3:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 042 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +58 |
Kendall Grove earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jake Rosholt | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 12 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 7 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 997 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Jake Rosholt lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Kendall Grove's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Rosholt | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 1:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 049 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Kendall Grove controlled Jake Rosholt on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:01 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jake Rosholt | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 106 |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +42 |
Kendall Grove demonstrated solid activity levels with 106 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kendall Grove capitalized on this activity level, while Jake Rosholt's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Rosholt | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 992 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Kendall Grove started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jake Rosholt is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Rosholt | Kendall Grove |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 987 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.