June 14, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jake Shields | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 122 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jake Shields's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jake Shields for the expected result. Had Tyron Woodley pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jake Shields | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jake Shields | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 046 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jake Shields receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jake Shields | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 82 | 60 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 211 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 132 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 047 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
Jake Shields controlled the striking exchanges with 132 vs 97 total strikes, 82 vs 60 significant strikes, 38.9% vs 63.8% accuracy. Jake Shields capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jake Shields | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 18 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:06 | 2:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 137 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Jake Shields did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tyron Woodley on the ground with 4:06 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jake Shields | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
Jake Shields demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jake Shields capitalized on this activity level, while Tyron Woodley's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jake Shields | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 053 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Jake Shields started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tyron Woodley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jake Shields | Tyron Woodley |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 040 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.