March 4, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jalin Turner's 2-fight experience advantage (7 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jalin Turner for the expected result. Had Jamie Mullarkey pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 066 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 0:46 | 0:46 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 297 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -39 |
Jalin Turner gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 35 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 111 | 59 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 45 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 315 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | +67 | -67 |
Jalin Turner controlled the striking exchanges with 52 vs 35 significant strikes, 46.8% vs 59.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jalin Turner capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 1:31 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 228 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Jalin Turner landed 1 knockdown followed by 4 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 162 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 1 103 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -19 |
Jalin Turner demonstrated solid activity levels with 162 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jalin Turner capitalized on this activity level, while Jamie Mullarkey's 155-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 087 | 997 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -18 |
Jalin Turner extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamie Mullarkey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Jamie Mullarkey |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 066 | 988 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

