February 21, 2020
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 022 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Jalin Turner's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jalin Turner for the expected result. Had Josh Culibao pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:01 | 3:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 122 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -36 |
Jalin Turner gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 91 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 146 | 917 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Jalin Turner dominated the striking exchanges with 90 vs 12 total strikes, 55 vs 12 significant strikes, 60.4% vs 42.9% accuracy. Jalin Turner capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:21 | 0:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 32 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 931 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Jalin Turner controlled Josh Culibao on the ground with 4:21 of control time, 32 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 316 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 029 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Jalin Turner demonstrated standard activity with 316 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Jalin Turner capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Culibao's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
Jalin Turner started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Culibao is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Josh Culibao |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 005 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

