March 3, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 121 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +28 |
Mateusz Gamrot overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jalin Turner.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 085 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 337 | 1 377 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +10 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Mateusz Gamrot receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 40 | 29 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 97 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 62 | 89 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 297 | 1 256 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Jalin Turner controlled the striking through superior volume (62 vs 89 total strikes), significant strike advantage (40 vs 29), superior accuracy (41.2% vs 69.0%), 1 knockdown. However, since Jalin Turner lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Mateusz Gamrot's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 12 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:32 | 6:52 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 6 |
| Ground ELO | 1 202 | 1 376 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Mateusz Gamrot controlled Jalin Turner on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 6:52 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 246 | 134 |
| Activity ELO | 1 136 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +39 |
Mateusz Gamrot demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mateusz Gamrot capitalized on this activity level, while Jalin Turner's 246-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 104 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Mateusz Gamrot started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jalin Turner is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Mateusz Gamrot |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 064 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.