April 12, 2019
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 990 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 048 | 1 033 |
| ELO Change | -57 | +57 |
Matt Frevola earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 116 | 77 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 49 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 063 | 957 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Matt Frevola slightly outperformed the striking exchanges with 40.3% vs 30.2% accuracy. Matt Frevola capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 13 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:06 | 5:07 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 7 |
| Ground ELO | 958 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -81 | +81 |
Matt Frevola controlled Jalin Turner on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 5:07 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 63 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +42 |
Matt Frevola demonstrated solid activity levels with 161 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Frevola capitalized on this activity level, while Jalin Turner's 63-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 986 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Matt Frevola started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jalin Turner is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Matt Frevola |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.