September 24, 2021
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 086 | 1 029 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -32 |
Jalin Turner's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jalin Turner for the expected result. Had Uros Medic pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 047 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:01 | 4:01 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 217 | 1 056 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -33 |
Jalin Turner earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:01, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 6 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 47 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 6 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 248 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -53 |
Jalin Turner controlled the striking exchanges with 40 vs 6 total strikes, 25 vs 6 significant strikes. Jalin Turner capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:24 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 208 | 938 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Jalin Turner dominated Uros Medic on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 2:24 of control time, 6 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 378 | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -19 |
Jalin Turner demonstrated extended layoff with 378 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jalin Turner capitalized on this activity level, while Uros Medic's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 061 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Jalin Turner extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Uros Medic is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Uros Medic |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 047 | 999 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.