October 5, 2018
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 980 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Vicente Luque's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Vicente Luque for the expected result. Had Jalin Turner pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 984 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:52 | 3:52 |
| Win Type ELO | 991 | 1 384 |
| ELO Change | -9 | +20 |
Vicente Luque earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:52, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 31 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 975 | 1 346 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Vicente Luque controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 31 significant strikes, 64.1% vs 53.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Vicente Luque capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 984 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Vicente Luque landed 1 knockdown followed by 8 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 140 |
| Activity ELO | 990 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +20 |
Vicente Luque demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Vicente Luque capitalized on this activity level, while Jalin Turner's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 125 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
Vicente Luque extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jalin Turner is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jalin Turner | Vicente Luque |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 984 | 1 098 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

