Jamahal Hill vs Paul Craig

June 11, 2021

Light Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1055
(-38)
Jamahal Hill
Winner: Paul Craig
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:59

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jamahal Hill-38
Paul Craig+44
1187
(+44)
Paul Craig

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jamahal Hill: -32Paul Craig: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricJamahal HillPaul Craig
Total UFC Fights412
Experience Gap-88
Experience ELO1 1161 169
ELO Change-32+32
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig's 8-fight experience advantage (12 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Paul Craig for the expected result. Had Jamahal Hill pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jamahal Hill: -20Paul Craig: +20

Performance Statistics

MetricJamahal HillPaul Craig
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0241 075
ELO Change-20+20
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jamahal Hill: -29Paul Craig: +70

Performance Statistics

MetricJamahal HillPaul Craig
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:591:59
Win Type ELO1 1661 373
ELO Change-29+70
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:59, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jamahal Hill: -133Paul Craig: +133

Performance Statistics

MetricJamahal HillPaul Craig
Significant Strikes Landed123
Significant Strikes Attempted825
Total Strikes Landed343
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0161 280
ELO Change-133+133
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig controlled the striking exchanges with 43 vs 3 total strikes, 23 vs 1 significant strikes, 92.0% vs 12.5% accuracy. Paul Craig capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jamahal Hill: -29Paul Craig: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJamahal HillPaul Craig
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:530:03
Ground Strikes Landed017
Ground ELO1 0191 248
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig controlled Jamahal Hill on the ground with 17 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jamahal Hill: -15Paul Craig: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJamahal HillPaul Craig
Days Since Last Fight189203
Activity ELO1 0481 179
ELO Change-15+19
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Paul Craig capitalized on this activity level, while Jamahal Hill's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jamahal Hill: -20Paul Craig: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricJamahal HillPaul Craig
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0311 096
ELO Change-20+26
💡

What Happened

Paul Craig extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamahal Hill is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jamahal Hill: -21Paul Craig: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJamahal HillPaul Craig
Weight ClassLight HeavyweightLight Heavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0231 073
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.