August 5, 2022
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jamahal Hill | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 24 |
| Experience Gap | -17 | 17 |
| Experience ELO | 1 251 | 1 150 |
| ELO Change | +66 | -31 |
Jamahal Hill overcame a 17-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 24 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Thiago Santos.
| Metric | Jamahal Hill | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 089 | 1 073 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jamahal Hill | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 4 | 4 |
| Time of Finish | 2:31 | 2:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 504 | 1 383 |
| ELO Change | +86 | -43 |
Jamahal Hill gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 4, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jamahal Hill | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 89 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 152 | 94 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 130 | 56 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 349 | 1 312 |
| ELO Change | +104 | -104 |
Jamahal Hill dominated the striking exchanges with 130 vs 56 total strikes, 89 vs 53 significant strikes. Jamahal Hill capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jamahal Hill | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 6 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 20 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:26 | 5:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 18 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 185 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Jamahal Hill did not secure a significant ground advantage against Thiago Santos on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:26 of control time, 18 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jamahal Hill | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 168 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 228 | 1 276 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -28 |
Jamahal Hill demonstrated solid activity levels with 168 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jamahal Hill capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Santos's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jamahal Hill | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 113 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -25 |
Jamahal Hill extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thiago Santos is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jamahal Hill | Thiago Santos |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 088 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.