February 17, 2023
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jamal Pogues | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 922 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -70 |
Jamal Pogues overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Parisian.
| Metric | Jamal Pogues | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jamal Pogues | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 043 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +43 | -43 |
Jamal Pogues earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jamal Pogues | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 60 | 113 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 49 | 51 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 018 | 934 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
Josh Parisian controlled the striking through superior accuracy (32.7% vs 55.0%). However, since Josh Parisian lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jamal Pogues's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jamal Pogues | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 5 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:49 | 1:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 054 | 789 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -54 |
Jamal Pogues dominated Josh Parisian on the ground with 5 vs 1 takedowns, 5:49 of control time, 4 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jamal Pogues | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 239 |
| Activity ELO | 1 021 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
Jamal Pogues demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jamal Pogues capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Parisian's 239-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jamal Pogues | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 023 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jamal Pogues started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Parisian is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jamal Pogues | Josh Parisian |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.