Jamal Pogues vs Thomas Petersen

February 2, 2024

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1024
(+26)
Jamal Pogues
Winner: Jamal Pogues
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jamal Pogues+26
Thomas Petersen-25
975
(-25)
Thomas Petersen

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jamal Pogues: +32Thomas Petersen: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricJamal PoguesThomas Petersen
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 024968
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Jamal Pogues's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jamal Pogues for the expected result. Had Thomas Petersen pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jamal Pogues: +21Thomas Petersen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJamal PoguesThomas Petersen
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 020979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jamal Pogues: +42Thomas Petersen: -42

Performance Statistics

MetricJamal PoguesThomas Petersen
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 038958
ELO Change+42-42
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What Happened

Jamal Pogues earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jamal Pogues: +25Thomas Petersen: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricJamal PoguesThomas Petersen
Significant Strikes Landed6558
Significant Strikes Attempted12486
Total Strikes Landed66116
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO993975
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Thomas Petersen controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (116 vs 66 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (58 vs 65), superior accuracy (67.4% vs 52.4%). However, since Thomas Petersen lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jamal Pogues's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jamal Pogues: +19Thomas Petersen: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJamal PoguesThomas Petersen
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time0:042:47
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 049981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

Jamal Pogues did not secure a significant ground advantage against Thomas Petersen on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jamal Pogues: +26Thomas Petersen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJamal PoguesThomas Petersen
Days Since Last Fight197N/A
Activity ELO1 025979
ELO Change+26-21
💡

What Happened

Jamal Pogues demonstrated standard activity with 197 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jamal Pogues capitalized on this activity level, while Thomas Petersen's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jamal Pogues: +23Thomas Petersen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJamal PoguesThomas Petersen
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 024979
ELO Change+23-21
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What Happened

Jamal Pogues started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Thomas Petersen is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jamal Pogues: +21Thomas Petersen: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJamal PoguesThomas Petersen
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 020979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.