December 14, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Head | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 10 |
| Experience Gap | -6 | 6 |
| Experience ELO | 1 032 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Mike Pyle's 6-fight experience advantage (10 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Pyle for the expected result. Had James Head pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Head | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Head | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:55 | 1:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 035 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +47 |
Mike Pyle earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | James Head | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 25 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 15 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 982 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Mike Pyle controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mike Pyle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Head | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 0:06 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 887 | 1 246 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
Mike Pyle landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | James Head | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 191 |
| Activity ELO | 1 060 | 1 195 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +19 |
Mike Pyle demonstrated standard activity with 191 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mike Pyle capitalized on this activity level, while James Head's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Head | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 019 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +23 |
Mike Pyle extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Head is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Head | Mike Pyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 008 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

