James Head vs Papy Abedi

April 13, 2012

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

987
(+37)
James Head
Winner: James Head
Submission
Round 1 • 4:33

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

James Head+37
Papy Abedi-31
952
(-31)
Papy Abedi

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
James Head: +33Papy Abedi: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJames HeadPapy Abedi
Total UFC Fights22
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 003962
ELO Change+33-22
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
James Head: +21Papy Abedi: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJames HeadPapy Abedi
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 001965
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
James Head: +75Papy Abedi: -45

Performance Statistics

MetricJames HeadPapy Abedi
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish4:334:33
Win Type ELO1 038946
ELO Change+75-45
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What Happened

James Head earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
James Head: +38Papy Abedi: -38

Performance Statistics

MetricJames HeadPapy Abedi
Significant Strikes Landed2111
Significant Strikes Attempted4318
Total Strikes Landed2819
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO996949
ELO Change+38-38
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What Happened

James Head edged the striking exchanges with 21 vs 11 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 61.1% accuracy. James Head capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
James Head: +60Papy Abedi: -60

Performance Statistics

MetricJames HeadPapy Abedi
Takedowns Landed01
Takedowns Attempted03
Ground Control Time0:431:55
Ground Strikes Landed23
Ground ELO848888
ELO Change+60-60
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What Happened

James Head edged out Papy Abedi on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
James Head: +22Papy Abedi: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJames HeadPapy Abedi
Days Since Last Fight308161
Activity ELO1 002973
ELO Change+22-22
💡

What Happened

James Head demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, James Head capitalized on this activity level, while Papy Abedi's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
James Head: +24Papy Abedi: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJames HeadPapy Abedi
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 004968
ELO Change+24-22
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What Happened

James Head started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Papy Abedi is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
James Head: +21Papy Abedi: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJames HeadPapy Abedi
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 001964
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.