April 13, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Head | Papy Abedi |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 962 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | James Head | Papy Abedi |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 001 | 965 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Head | Papy Abedi |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:33 | 4:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 038 | 946 |
| ELO Change | +75 | -45 |
James Head earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:33, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | James Head | Papy Abedi |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 11 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 43 | 18 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 28 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 996 | 949 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -38 |
James Head edged the striking exchanges with 21 vs 11 significant strikes, 48.8% vs 61.1% accuracy. James Head capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Head | Papy Abedi |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:43 | 1:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 848 | 888 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -60 |
James Head edged out Papy Abedi on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:43 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | James Head | Papy Abedi |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 308 | 161 |
| Activity ELO | 1 002 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
James Head demonstrated standard activity with 308 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, James Head capitalized on this activity level, while Papy Abedi's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Head | Papy Abedi |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 968 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
James Head started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Papy Abedi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Head | Papy Abedi |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 001 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

