December 28, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Irvin | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 977 | 963 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
James Irvin's 5-fight experience advantage (6 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding James Irvin for the expected result. Had Luiz Cane pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Irvin | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Irvin | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:51 | 1:51 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 059 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
The fight concluded with James Irvin earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | James Irvin | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 19 | 20 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 5 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Luiz Cane controlled the striking through superior accuracy (45.0% vs 26.3%). However, since Luiz Cane lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. James Irvin's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | James Irvin | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:12 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 889 | 971 |
| ELO Change | +29 | -29 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | James Irvin | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 015 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
James Irvin demonstrated standard activity with 218 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, James Irvin capitalized on this activity level, while Luiz Cane's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Irvin | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 009 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -22 |
James Irvin started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luiz Cane is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Irvin | Luiz Cane |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 003 | 978 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.