February 4, 2005
Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Irvin | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Mike Kyle's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mike Kyle for the expected result. Had James Irvin pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Irvin | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Irvin | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:55 | 1:55 |
| Win Type ELO | 962 | 1 124 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +92 |
Mike Kyle earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:55, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | James Irvin | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 10 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 3 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 867 | 1 131 |
| ELO Change | -133 | +133 |
Mike Kyle controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 3 total strikes, 10 vs 3 significant strikes, 66.7% vs 50.0% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mike Kyle capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Irvin | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 1:23 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 936 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Mike Kyle landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | James Irvin | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 169 |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +37 |
Mike Kyle demonstrated solid activity levels with 169 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mike Kyle capitalized on this activity level, while James Irvin's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Irvin | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Mike Kyle started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Irvin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Irvin | Mike Kyle |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

