January 15, 2006
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Irvin | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 981 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | James Irvin | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Irvin | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:30 | 4:30 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 009 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +79 |
Stephan Bonnar earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:30, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | James Irvin | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 5 | 2 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 6 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 8 | 22 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 952 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
James Irvin controlled the striking through superior accuracy (83.3% vs 40.0%). However, since James Irvin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Stephan Bonnar's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | James Irvin | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 4:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 849 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -112 | +112 |
Stephan Bonnar dominated James Irvin on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:03 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | James Irvin | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 150 | 164 |
| Activity ELO | 988 | 1 071 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +33 |
Stephan Bonnar demonstrated solid activity levels with 164 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Stephan Bonnar capitalized on this activity level, while James Irvin's 150-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Irvin | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 982 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +25 |
Stephan Bonnar extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Irvin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Irvin | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.