May 25, 2007
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Irvin | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 940 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -74 | +74 |
Thiago Silva overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran James Irvin.
| Metric | James Irvin | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 981 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Irvin | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:06 | 1:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 040 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +127 |
Thiago Silva earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | James Irvin | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 1 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 988 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -60 | +60 |
James Irvin controlled the striking through superior accuracy (75.0% vs 100.0%). However, since James Irvin lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Thiago Silva's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | James Irvin | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:36 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 860 | 1 019 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Thiago Silva did not secure a significant ground advantage against James Irvin on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 0:36 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | James Irvin | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 988 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Thiago Silva demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Thiago Silva capitalized on this activity level, while James Irvin's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Irvin | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Thiago Silva started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Irvin is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Irvin | Thiago Silva |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 981 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

