September 26, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Krause | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 100 | 1 168 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Jorge Masvidal's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jorge Masvidal for the expected result. Had James Krause pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Krause | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 004 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Krause | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 114 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +40 |
Jorge Masvidal earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | James Krause | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 58 | 69 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 145 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 61 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 038 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -51 | +51 |
Jorge Masvidal controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 61 total strikes, 69 vs 58 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Krause | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:42 | 3:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 042 | 1 268 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Jorge Masvidal landed 1 knockdown followed by 2 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | James Krause | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 63 |
| Activity ELO | 1 023 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +44 |
Jorge Masvidal demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 63 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jorge Masvidal capitalized on this activity level, while James Krause's 126-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Krause | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 011 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +24 |
Jorge Masvidal extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Krause is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Krause | Jorge Masvidal |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.