July 6, 2017
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Krause | Tom Gallicchio |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 144 | 979 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
James Krause's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding James Krause for the expected result. Had Tom Gallicchio pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Krause | Tom Gallicchio |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 046 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Krause | Tom Gallicchio |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 231 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
James Krause earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | James Krause | Tom Gallicchio |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 106 | 53 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 188 | 200 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 113 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 106 | 969 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
James Krause dominated the striking exchanges with 113 vs 57 total strikes, 106 vs 53 significant strikes, 56.4% vs 26.5% accuracy. James Krause capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Krause | Tom Gallicchio |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:09 | 1:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 115 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +15 | -15 |
James Krause did not secure a significant ground advantage against Tom Gallicchio on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | James Krause | Tom Gallicchio |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 502 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 097 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -16 |
James Krause demonstrated extended layoff with 502 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, James Krause capitalized on this activity level, while Tom Gallicchio's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Krause | Tom Gallicchio |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 064 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -19 |
James Krause extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tom Gallicchio is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Krause | Tom Gallicchio |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 046 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

