February 7, 2020
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Krause | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 175 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +73 |
Trevin Giles overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (5 vs 12 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran James Krause.
| Metric | James Krause | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 079 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Krause | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 365 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Trevin Giles receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | James Krause | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 71 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 148 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 88 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 225 | 1 154 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Trevin Giles controlled the striking exchanges with 88 vs 59 total strikes, 71 vs 44 significant strikes. Trevin Giles capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Krause | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:52 | 3:39 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 28 |
| Ground ELO | 1 178 | 1 063 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Trevin Giles did not secure a significant ground advantage against James Krause on the ground with 0 takedowns, 3:39 of control time, 28 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | James Krause | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 84 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 134 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +36 |
Trevin Giles demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Trevin Giles capitalized on this activity level, while James Krause's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Krause | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 145 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +33 |
Trevin Giles started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Krause is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Krause | Trevin Giles |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 079 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.