August 24, 2018
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Krause | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 192 | 1 087 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (10 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | James Krause | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 086 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Krause | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:28 | 2:28 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 326 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +70 | -34 |
James Krause gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | James Krause | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 59 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 64 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 79 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 197 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
James Krause controlled the striking exchanges with 79 vs 39 total strikes, 59 vs 28 significant strikes, 55.7% vs 43.8% accuracy. James Krause capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Krause | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:05 | 1:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 183 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
James Krause did not secure a significant ground advantage against Warlley Alves on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:05 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | James Krause | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 223 | 105 |
| Activity ELO | 1 143 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -21 |
James Krause demonstrated standard activity with 223 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, James Krause capitalized on this activity level, while Warlley Alves's 105-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Krause | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 129 | 1 077 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -22 |
James Krause continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Warlley Alves's now at 0.
| Metric | James Krause | Warlley Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 086 | 1 054 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.