June 27, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Moontasri | Joe Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Joe Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Joe Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 990 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Joe Ellenberger receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Joe Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 35 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 37 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 119 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
James Moontasri controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (119 vs 50 total strikes), significant strike advantage (35 vs 22), 1 knockdown. However, since James Moontasri lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Joe Ellenberger's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Joe Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 10 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:03 | 6:29 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 23 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 957 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Joe Ellenberger edged out James Moontasri on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 6:29 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Joe Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Joe Ellenberger demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Joe Ellenberger capitalized on this activity level, while James Moontasri's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Joe Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Joe Ellenberger started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Moontasri is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Joe Ellenberger |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.