July 14, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Moontasri | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 986 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Kevin Lee's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kevin Lee for the expected result. Had James Moontasri pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 983 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:56 | 2:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 017 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +70 |
Kevin Lee earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 2:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 18 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 6 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 010 | 1 099 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Kevin Lee slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Kevin Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:06 | 1:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 013 | 1 258 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Kevin Lee controlled James Moontasri on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:08 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 151 | 151 |
| Activity ELO | 993 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +25 |
Kevin Lee demonstrated solid activity levels with 151 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Lee capitalized on this activity level, while James Moontasri's 151-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 985 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +25 |
Kevin Lee extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Moontasri is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Moontasri | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 983 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.