James Mulheron vs Justin Willis

July 15, 2017

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

968
(-32)
James Mulheron
Winner: Justin Willis
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

James Mulheron-32
Justin Willis+32
1032
(+32)
Justin Willis

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
James Mulheron: -21Justin Willis: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJames MulheronJustin Willis
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
James Mulheron: -21Justin Willis: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJames MulheronJustin Willis
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
James Mulheron: -42Justin Willis: +42

Performance Statistics

MetricJames MulheronJustin Willis
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO9581 042
ELO Change-42+42
💡

What Happened

Justin Willis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
James Mulheron: -29Justin Willis: +29

Performance Statistics

MetricJames MulheronJustin Willis
Significant Strikes Landed3652
Significant Strikes Attempted11491
Total Strikes Landed5672
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO9711 029
ELO Change-29+29
💡

What Happened

Justin Willis controlled the striking exchanges with 52 vs 36 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 31.6% accuracy. Justin Willis capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
James Mulheron: -77Justin Willis: +77

Performance Statistics

MetricJames MulheronJustin Willis
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted04
Ground Control Time0:403:24
Ground Strikes Landed010
Ground ELO9231 077
ELO Change-77+77
💡

What Happened

Justin Willis controlled James Mulheron on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 3:24 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
James Mulheron: -21Justin Willis: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJames MulheronJustin Willis
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

Justin Willis demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Justin Willis capitalized on this activity level, while James Mulheron's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
James Mulheron: -21Justin Willis: +23

Performance Statistics

MetricJames MulheronJustin Willis
Win Streak01
Win Streak ELO9791 023
ELO Change-21+23
💡

What Happened

Justin Willis started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Mulheron is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
James Mulheron: -21Justin Willis: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJames MulheronJustin Willis
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9791 021
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.