December 5, 2013
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 12 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 077 | 1 172 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Mauricio Rua's 4-fight experience advantage (12 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Mauricio Rua for the expected result. Had James Te Huna pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 036 | 1 106 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:03 | 1:03 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 184 | 1 405 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +65 |
Mauricio Rua earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:03, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 7 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 9 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 096 | 1 395 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Mauricio Rua controlled the striking exchanges with 9 vs 1 significant strikes, 75.0% vs 14.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mauricio Rua capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:03 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 027 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 196 | 112 |
| Activity ELO | 1 081 | 1 202 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +43 |
Mauricio Rua demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Mauricio Rua capitalized on this activity level, while James Te Huna's 196-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 052 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Mauricio Rua started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Te Huna is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Mauricio Rua |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 031 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.