June 27, 2014
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Te Huna | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 17 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 049 | 1 143 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Nate Marquardt's 8-fight experience advantage (17 vs 9 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nate Marquardt for the expected result. Had James Te Huna pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 017 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:34 | 4:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 156 | 1 354 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +46 |
Nate Marquardt earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:34, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 6 | 17 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 10 | 27 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 29 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 029 | 1 196 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +67 |
Nate Marquardt controlled the striking exchanges with 17 vs 6 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Nate Marquardt capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:39 | 3:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 941 | 1 257 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Nate Marquardt dominated James Te Huna on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:14 of control time, 12 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 252 |
| Activity ELO | 1 067 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +18 |
Nate Marquardt demonstrated standard activity with 252 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nate Marquardt capitalized on this activity level, while James Te Huna's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +20 |
Nate Marquardt started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Te Huna is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Te Huna | Nate Marquardt |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 1 082 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

