August 27, 2010
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Toney | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 23 |
| Experience Gap | -22 | 22 |
| Experience ELO | 984 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Randy Couture's 22-fight experience advantage (23 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Randy Couture for the expected result. Had James Toney pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Toney | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 994 | 1 324 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Toney | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:19 | 3:19 |
| Win Type ELO | 993 | 1 431 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +11 |
Randy Couture earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:19, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | James Toney | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 0 | 11 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 957 | 1 248 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Randy Couture controlled the striking exchanges with 41 vs 4 total strikes, 8 vs 0 significant strikes, 72.7% vs 0.0% accuracy. Randy Couture capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Toney | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:02 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 8 |
| Ground ELO | 985 | 1 503 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Randy Couture dominated James Toney on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 3:02 of control time, 8 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | James Toney | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 997 | 1 449 |
| ELO Change | -3 | +4 |
Randy Couture demonstrated standard activity with 203 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Randy Couture capitalized on this activity level, while James Toney's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Toney | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 990 | 1 219 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +13 |
Randy Couture extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Toney is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Toney | Randy Couture |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 994 | 1 325 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.