August 24, 2018
Lightweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Vick | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 234 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | -47 | +70 |
Justin Gaethje overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran James Vick.
| Metric | James Vick | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 126 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Vick | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:27 | 1:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 365 | 1 283 |
| ELO Change | -73 | +175 |
Justin Gaethje earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:27, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | James Vick | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 10 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 15 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 207 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -147 | +147 |
Justin Gaethje controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Justin Gaethje capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Vick | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:04 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 246 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -92 | +92 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | James Vick | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 188 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 263 | 1 081 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +71 |
Justin Gaethje demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Justin Gaethje capitalized on this activity level, while James Vick's 188-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Vick | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 176 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +35 |
Justin Gaethje started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. James Vick is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Vick | Justin Gaethje |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 126 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.