May 12, 2017
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | James Vick | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 213 | 1 052 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
James Vick's 4-fight experience advantage (8 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding James Vick for the expected result. Had Marco Polo Reyes pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | James Vick | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 117 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | James Vick | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:39 | 2:39 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 343 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | +60 | -27 |
James Vick earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:39, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | James Vick | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 20 | 16 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 42 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 173 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +115 | -115 |
James Vick controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. James Vick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | James Vick | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 294 | 1 057 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
James Vick landed 1 knockdown followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | James Vick | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 189 |
| Activity ELO | 1 203 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -16 |
James Vick demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, James Vick capitalized on this activity level, while Marco Polo Reyes's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | James Vick | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 153 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -17 |
James Vick extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Marco Polo Reyes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | James Vick | Marco Polo Reyes |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 117 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.