December 14, 2024
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 11 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 994 | 1 159 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Miranda Maverick's 7-fight experience advantage (11 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Miranda Maverick for the expected result. Had Jamey-Lyn Horth pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 000 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 018 | 1 238 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Miranda Maverick earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 68 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 63 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 006 | 1 205 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Miranda Maverick edged the striking exchanges with 24 vs 15 significant strikes, 35.3% vs 27.3% accuracy. Miranda Maverick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:18 | 6:50 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 017 | 1 271 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
Miranda Maverick edged out Jamey-Lyn Horth on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 6:50 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 42 | 148 |
| Activity ELO | 1 009 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +21 |
Miranda Maverick demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since her last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Miranda Maverick capitalized on this activity level, while Jamey-Lyn Horth's 42-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 4 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 005 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +23 |
Miranda Maverick extended her 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamey-Lyn Horth is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Miranda Maverick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 000 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

