December 1, 2023
Women's Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 982 | 981 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Veronica Hardy's 5-fight experience advantage (7 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Veronica Hardy for the expected result. Had Jamey-Lyn Horth pulled off the upset, her experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 997 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 031 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | -11 | +11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Veronica Hardy receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 43 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 87 | 101 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 74 | 61 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 959 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
The striking was extremely close with minimal separation between fighters. However, since Jamey-Lyn Horth lost the overall fight, any slight striking edge couldn't be converted into ELO gains. Veronica Hardy's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:59 | 1:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 994 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
Veronica Hardy did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jamey-Lyn Horth on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:34 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 218 | 259 |
| Activity ELO | 998 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +29 |
Veronica Hardy demonstrated standard activity with 259 days since her last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Veronica Hardy capitalized on this activity level, while Jamey-Lyn Horth's 218-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 999 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +28 |
Veronica Hardy extended her 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamey-Lyn Horth is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jamey-Lyn Horth | Veronica Hardy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Women's Flyweight | Women's Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 997 | 996 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.