July 8, 2022
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 25 |
| Experience Gap | -19 | 19 |
| Experience ELO | 1 082 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +68 | -30 |
Jamie Mullarkey overcame a 19-fight experience disadvantage (6 vs 25 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Michael Johnson.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 009 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 167 | 1 184 |
| ELO Change | +12 | -12 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jamie Mullarkey receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 96 | 66 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 217 | 190 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 96 | 68 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 121 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -36 |
Jamie Mullarkey controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 68 total strikes, 96 vs 66 significant strikes, 44.2% vs 34.7% accuracy. Jamie Mullarkey capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:17 | 0:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 073 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Jamie Mullarkey did not secure a significant ground advantage against Michael Johnson on the ground with 0:17 of control time, 2 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 126 | 56 |
| Activity ELO | 1 071 | 1 112 |
| ELO Change | +57 | -28 |
Jamie Mullarkey demonstrated solid activity levels with 126 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jamie Mullarkey capitalized on this activity level, while Michael Johnson's 56-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 010 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -23 |
Jamie Mullarkey started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Michael Johnson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Michael Johnson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 009 | 973 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.