June 2, 2023
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 7 | -7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 005 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -101 | +101 |
Muhammad Naimov overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jamie Mullarkey.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 006 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:59 | 2:59 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 127 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +129 |
Muhammad Naimov gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 39 | 28 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 70 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 032 | 1 118 |
| ELO Change | -118 | +118 |
Jamie Mullarkey controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (39 vs 28), superior accuracy (54.9% vs 40.0%). However, since Jamie Mullarkey lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Muhammad Naimov's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:28 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 099 | 1 038 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Muhammad Naimov landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 066 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Muhammad Naimov demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Muhammad Naimov capitalized on this activity level, while Jamie Mullarkey's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +26 |
Muhammad Naimov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamie Mullarkey is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jamie Mullarkey | Muhammad Naimov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 006 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.