Jamie Mullarkey vs Nasrat Haqparast

December 8, 2023

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1046
(-36)
Jamie Mullarkey
Winner: Nasrat Haqparast
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:44

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jamie Mullarkey-36
Nasrat Haqparast+48
1163
(+48)
Nasrat Haqparast

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jamie Mullarkey: -26Nasrat Haqparast: +26

Performance Statistics

MetricJamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Total UFC Fights1012
Experience Gap-22
Experience ELO1 0491 158
ELO Change-26+26
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast's 2-fight experience advantage (12 vs 10 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nasrat Haqparast for the expected result. Had Jamie Mullarkey pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jamie Mullarkey: -19Nasrat Haqparast: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0111 081
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jamie Mullarkey: -38Nasrat Haqparast: +90

Performance Statistics

MetricJamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:441:44
Win Type ELO1 1341 299
ELO Change-38+90
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:44, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jamie Mullarkey: -91Nasrat Haqparast: +91

Performance Statistics

MetricJamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Significant Strikes Landed816
Significant Strikes Attempted2329
Total Strikes Landed818
Knockdowns Scored02
Striking ELO9681 269
ELO Change-91+91
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast dominated the striking exchanges with 16 vs 8 significant strikes, 55.2% vs 34.8% accuracy, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jamie Mullarkey: -61Nasrat Haqparast: +61

Performance Statistics

MetricJamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted00
Ground Control Time0:000:05
Ground Strikes Landed06
Ground ELO1 0551 124
ELO Change-61+61
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast landed 2 knockdowns followed by 6 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jamie Mullarkey: -21Nasrat Haqparast: +54

Performance Statistics

MetricJamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Days Since Last Fight9292
Activity ELO1 1071 175
ELO Change-21+54
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast demonstrated solid activity levels with 92 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Nasrat Haqparast capitalized on this activity level, while Jamie Mullarkey's 92-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jamie Mullarkey: -19Nasrat Haqparast: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Win Streak03
Win Streak ELO1 0301 113
ELO Change-19+24
💡

What Happened

Nasrat Haqparast extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamie Mullarkey is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jamie Mullarkey: -19Nasrat Haqparast: +19

Performance Statistics

MetricJamie MullarkeyNasrat Haqparast
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0111 081
ELO Change-19+19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.