August 11, 2023
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jamie Pickett | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 876 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Josh Fremd overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (4 vs 8 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jamie Pickett.
| Metric | Jamie Pickett | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 922 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jamie Pickett | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 865 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Josh Fremd earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jamie Pickett | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 14 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 52 | 80 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 59 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 721 | 994 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Josh Fremd controlled the striking exchanges with 59 vs 26 total strikes, 31 vs 14 significant strikes, 38.8% vs 26.9% accuracy. Josh Fremd capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jamie Pickett | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:01 | 7:15 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 770 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Josh Fremd controlled Jamie Pickett on the ground with 0 takedowns, 7:15 of control time, 3 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jamie Pickett | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 161 | 154 |
| Activity ELO | 974 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +36 |
Josh Fremd demonstrated solid activity levels with 154 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Josh Fremd capitalized on this activity level, while Jamie Pickett's 161-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jamie Pickett | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 928 | 1 007 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +23 |
Josh Fremd extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jamie Pickett is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jamie Pickett | Josh Fremd |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 922 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.