December 15, 2017
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 072 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -33 |
Jan Blachowicz's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jan Blachowicz for the expected result. Had Jared Cannonier pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 014 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 164 | 1 120 |
| ELO Change | +48 | -48 |
Jan Blachowicz earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 26 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 127 | 87 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 41 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 140 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -83 |
Jan Blachowicz controlled the striking exchanges with 65 vs 41 total strikes, 50 vs 26 significant strikes, 39.4% vs 29.9% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 4 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:50 | 0:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 166 | 1 036 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Jan Blachowicz landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 57 | 163 |
| Activity ELO | 1 142 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | +117 | -23 |
Jan Blachowicz demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 57 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jan Blachowicz capitalized on this activity level, while Jared Cannonier's 163-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 031 | 1 017 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Jan Blachowicz extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jared Cannonier is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jared Cannonier |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 012 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

