April 10, 2015
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 053 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Jimi Manuwa's 3-fight experience advantage (5 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jimi Manuwa for the expected result. Had Jan Blachowicz pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 003 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 100 | 1 209 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +38 |
Jimi Manuwa earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 43 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 106 | 86 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 58 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 113 | 1 178 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
Jimi Manuwa edged the striking exchanges with 81 vs 58 total strikes, 50.0% vs 41.5% accuracy. Jimi Manuwa capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 3 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 5:43 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 039 | 1 137 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +28 |
Jimi Manuwa edged out Jan Blachowicz on the ground with 5:43 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 399 |
| Activity ELO | 1 007 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +16 |
Jimi Manuwa demonstrated extended layoff with 399 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jimi Manuwa capitalized on this activity level, while Jan Blachowicz's 189-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 006 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Jimi Manuwa started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jan Blachowicz is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jan Blachowicz | Jimi Manuwa |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 002 | 1 066 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

